Portland Rents Turn Up as New Supply Shrinks

Market Analysis / Portland MSA / Data Through August 2026

Portland is losing jobs and its rents are rising anyway. Asking rents gained 0.4% in the three months to August, the metro's best stretch since July 2024, while developers started 58% fewer units than a year earlier (Yardi Matrix, October 2026). The timing lines up with supply, not jobs.

58%Drop in units started, January to August 2026 vs. the same period of 2025
+0.4%Asking rent growth, trailing three months to August, vs. +0.2% nationally
1,948Units Yardi Matrix expects to deliver in 2027, down from 5,847 in 2025
25,700Net jobs the metro lost in the 12 months to June

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026 (data through August 2026), with Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

01 / Rents

Rents are turning.Four positive months in a row.

Portland's average advertised asking rent rose 0.4% on a trailing three-month basis in August, to $1,761. The U.S. average rose 0.2%, to $1,773. August extended a four-month positive streak and was the metro's strongest three-month reading since July 2024 (Yardi Matrix).

The gains are recovering ground lost earlier, not setting records. Year over year, Portland rents were still down 0.6% while the U.S. average rose 0.4%.

Trailing 3 months to August 2026Rent changeAverage asking rent
Portland metro+0.4%$1,761
United States+0.2%$1,773
Portland, Renter-by-Necessity+0.5%$1,570
Portland, Lifestyle+0.3%$1,902

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026.

The improvement reached both of Yardi's asset classes. Renter-by-Necessity rents, Yardi's working-class segment, rose 0.5% and higher-end Lifestyle rents rose 0.3%. Lifestyle properties led the spring pickup, and the Renter-by-Necessity segment turned positive in June.

02 / Demand

Jobs are the drag.Eight of 10 sectors shrank.

The rent gains came without help from the labor market. Portland lost 25,700 net jobs in the 12 months to June, a 2.4% decline while U.S. employment was essentially flat. Metro job growth has been negative for more than two years, per Yardi Matrix's read of Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

Job change by sector, Portland metro, 12 months to June 2026
Education and health4,500Leisure and hospitality300Construction-5,100Manufacturing-5,900Business services-8,500All sectors-25,700

Source: Yardi Matrix, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Construction includes mining and logging.

Occupancy in stabilized properties slipped 50 basis points over the year, to 94.5% in July. Unemployment was 4.9% in mid-2026, below Oregon's 5.2% and above the 4.1% national rate. Population grew 0.4% in 2024, to 2,346,358, against roughly 1.0% nationally (U.S. Census).

There are new anchors. Genentech announced a $750 million Hillsboro expansion in August that Yardi Matrix expects to create 450 manufacturing and construction jobs, and the $2.2 billion PDX main terminal reconstruction, completed in June, doubled airport capacity.

03 / Supply

Deliveries fall by two-thirds.2025 to 2027.

Soft demand meets far less new product. Portland delivered 5,847 units in 2025, 3.0% of existing stock. Through August 2026 it added 2,027 units, 1.0% of stock, below the 1.3% U.S. rate. Yardi Matrix expects 2,847 completions for all of 2026 and 1,948 in 2027.

Apartment completions, Portland metro (units)
02,0004,0006,0005,84720252,8472026 forecast1,9482027 forecast

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026. 2026 and 2027 are Yardi Matrix forecasts.

Another 3,313 units were under construction at the end of August. Lifestyle projects made up 64.6% of them and fully affordable projects the other 35.4%. Yardi Matrix tracked no Renter-by-Necessity projects under construction.

04 / Starts

Starts fell 58%.Fewer starts, fewer future deliveries.

Five projects totaling 605 units broke ground from January through August, down 58.3% from the 1,452 units in eight properties started in the same months of 2025. All of 2025 saw just 12 projects and 1,803 units start.

Apartment units started, Portland metro
05001,0001,5001,452Jan to Aug 2025605Jan to Aug 2026

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026.

Fewer starts now means fewer deliveries later.

Planned and prospective projects add about 32,000 units to the long-term pipeline, but those projects have not broken ground.

05 / Submarkets

23 of 69 submarkets grew.Location decides.

Year over year through August, asking rents rose in 23 of Portland's 69 submarkets. Fort Vancouver led at +4.7%. Lake Oswego stayed the metro's most expensive area at $2,387 despite a 0.8% decline, ahead of Downtown Portland at $2,210.

Asking rent change, year over year to August 2026
Fort Vancouver4.7%Milwaukie/Gladstone2.1%Orchards2.1%United States0.4%Downtown Vancouver0.0%Portland metro-0.6%Lake Oswego-0.8%Downtown Portland-2.8%Creswell Heights-2.8%

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026.

The two submarkets with the most construction did not lead. Downtown Vancouver (487 units) and Creswell Heights (366) held a quarter of all units under construction, and both posted flat or falling rents. Yardi Matrix expects near-term supply pressure to stay local as metro-wide deliveries slow.

06 / Capital

Fewer sales, higher prices.A pricier sales mix.

Multifamily sales totaled $824 million through August, down 19.4% from roughly $1 billion in the same months of 2025. For context, annual volume averaged $1.7 billion from 2016 to 2025. Three-quarters of this year's volume closed between May and July.

Average price per unit, 2026 through August
Portland metro$228,089United States$192,668

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026.

The average price per unit rose 13.1% from year-end 2025, to $228,089, 18.4% above the U.S. figure. Yardi Matrix attributes the increase to a sales mix weighted toward higher-priced Lifestyle assets, which made up 78.2% of volume. The largest single sale was the 286-unit Heirloom in the Milwaukie/Gladstone submarket, bought by UDR for $74.1 million.

07 / What it means

Supply leads, jobs lag.Rents turned as deliveries slowed.

Portland's rents turned up in a weak job market, at the same time new supply fell away. Deliveries drop from 5,847 units in 2025 to a forecast 1,948 in 2027, starts fell 58% this year, and Yardi Matrix tracked no Renter-by-Necessity projects under construction.

Demand is still soft. Occupancy fell 50 basis points to 94.5% and rents remain 0.6% below a year ago. Job growth is the missing piece. Yardi Matrix expects development's slowdown to gradually reduce supply pressure. Hiring has yet to turn.

Source: Yardi Matrix, Portland Multifamily Report, October 2026.

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